The people developing AI are indicating that its progress is happening much quicker than most people realize. This acceleration is significant because we may not fully understand how it will transform our lives until that change has already occurred. Economist Anton Korinek points out that compared to the internet, the upcoming shifts from AI could be vastly more disruptive, and we are not prepared for it.
Various industry leaders, including OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman, foresee substantial changes by the 2030s, predicting that humanity is on the verge of discovering just how advanced AI could become. Dario Amodei, outspoken CEO of Anthropic, thinks AI could eliminate most entry-level white-collar jobs in the next 2 or 3 years. Warnings about significant job losses in white-collar sectors, with estimates suggesting a halving of these positions within the next few years, are becoming more common, as AI applications are creeping into hiring practices and workplace management. Educational settings are grappling with the impact of AI on students, especially concerning academic honesty.
Despite the potential challenges, there is room for optimism. Technology has historically led to increased productivity and shared prosperity. Korinek emphasizes this possibility, suggesting that the rise of AI could ultimately enhance economic growth and benefit society as a whole.
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