Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has become a common topic in discussions about AI. It has been suggested by prominent technology companies, governments, and researchers that AGI may already be here. However, the definition and implications of AGI are still heavily debated within the AI community. The original goal of AI was to achieve a level of general intelligence comparable to that of humans, but so far, AI has only succeeded in narrow, task-specific capabilities. The term “AGI” was coined in the early 2000s to reignite the pursuit of replicating human intelligence in a broad manner. However, opinions about the possibility and consequences of AGI still vary widely among AI experts.
Many AI experts speculate on the timeline to achieve AGI, with some claiming that AGI could be reached as early as 2028. But others in the AI community are skeptical of the concept of AGI, calling it vague and ill-defined. Additionally, if AGI is achievable, there are concerns about the existential risk to humanity from an AGI that does not align itself with the value and importance of humans.
The definition of AGI has evolved to focus on “cognitive tasks” rather than encompassing all human activities, and the concept of intelligence in the context of AI centers around an AI agent’s ability to achieve specific goals. There is also a view that once an AI system achieves AGI, it could rapidly surpass human intelligence, leading to further unforeseeable risks.
Opinions of AGI differ greatly from the perspective of researchers who study biological intelligence, especially human cognition. Human intelligence is deeply reliant on physical, emotional, social, and cultural experiences, which may not be easily separated from cognitive aspects or captured by a machine.
The debate around AGI and its implications remains ongoing, with speculations based primarily on intuitions rather than scientific evidence. History has shown that our intuitions about intelligence have been repeatedly disproved, and there is a need for a more rigorous scientific investigation of intelligence in order to address these questions and to arrive at a workable meaning of AGI.
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